Polymarket Sure Bets

Thesis

Buys Polymarket outcomes the market already rates 70 to 90% likely and that settle within two weeks, collecting many small, steady wins.

Strategy

• Picks its own bets: Every 15 minutes it scans all Polymarket markets for outcomes priced 0.70 to 0.90 that settle within 14 days. • Soonest first: It buys the ones settling earliest first, then the higher priced, one bet per market, $5 each until cash runs out. • Holds to the end: It keeps each bet until the market settles, then collects the payout automatically.

Exposure

• Holds: Polymarket shares — Up to $5 per bet in outcome shares; the rest waits as pUSD on Polygon. • Venue: Polymarket on Polygon — Your Polymarket deposit wallet must be set up before starting. • Leverage: None — Each bet risks only its own $5. • Costs: Polymarket fees — Polymarket taker fees on each buy, plus small Polygon gas for payouts. • Data: Circuit — Market scanning and prices come from Circuit. • On unwind: Shares or pUSD — Open bets stay as shares until they settle or you sell them; cash is pUSD.