BTC September Pair

Thesis

Monitors two BTC September 2026 Yes markets on Polymarket and exits held positions, with entry blocked because exact-share limit buys are unsupported.

Strategy

• Spread checks: Fresh order books drive the spread checks and combined-bid stop, and stale or failed books stop new decisions with log alerts. • Exit deadlines: A Yes resolution, the September 29 8 p.m. single-leg cutoff, the September 30 10:30 a.m. deadline, or stopping starts market exits or redemption. • Entry logging: Entry cost and payout arithmetic are logged when entry book conditions pass, but no unprotected market buy replaces the requested limits.

Exposure

• Holds: Polygon funds and shares — The session's Polygon starting asset plus any shares held in the two verified September 2026 BTC Yes markets. • Venue: Polymarket on Polygon — The two verified September 2026 BTC Yes markets on Polymarket. • Leverage: None — It does not borrow; positions are Polymarket outcome shares. • Costs: Slippage and gas — Market exits may slip, partially fill or fail, and Circuit cannot guarantee the total including gas stays below $210. • Data: clob.polymarket.com — Timestamped order books and minimum size, which Circuit's SDK does not expose. • On unwind: Exits or redeems — Stopping initiates available market exits or redemption without an outside-data gate.