BTC Directional Trial

Thesis

Follow BTC's hourly trend, seeking gains from sustained rises and falls.

Strategy

• Signal: Each hour, go long above the last 20 completed hourly closes' average and short below it; equality selects long. • Exit: Close when direction changes; reassess next hour before entering the new direction, completing any remaining close first. • Sizing: Use the full USDC allocation at 2x exposure, accounting for opening fees, with one BTC position at a time.

Exposure

• Holds: BTC and USDC — One directional BTC perpetual backed by USDC. • Venue: Hyperliquid — USDC collateral on HyperCore; this candidate is intended for simulated evaluation first. • Leverage: 2x — Targets twice allocated capital in BTC exposure when entering. • Costs: Fees and funding — Pays Hyperliquid trading fees and periodic funding. • Data: Circuit — Uses completed BTC hourly candles and session holdings. • On unwind: USDC — Closing BTC settles gains or losses into USDC.