BTC September Pair

Thesis

A fail-closed implementation of the requested September BTC pair, with a $210 cap and a Wednesday September 30, 2026, 10:30 a.m. ET exit deadline.

Strategy

• Entry withheld: The current Circuit interface cannot enforce exact-share buys, per-leg limits or atomic paired execution, so entry is withheld. • Exits: If session positions exist, it closes both below 55 cents of combined quoted net sale value or at the deadline. • Resolution: A confirmed Yes resolution triggers sale of the other leg and redemption of the winner.

Exposure

• Holds: Polymarket BTC shares — 250 Yes shares each on BTC reaching $85,000 and dipping to $82,500 were requested; entry is withheld, so it normally holds pUSD. • Venue: Polymarket — Polymarket account setup and funding belong in Terminal. • Leverage: None — The requested basket is capped at $210. • Costs: Fees and gas — Fee-inclusive quotes with $2.50 reserved for other costs; the $210 cap is not a guaranteed all-in gas ceiling. • Data: Circuit — Checks fresh markets and fee-inclusive indicative quotes through Circuit. • On unwind: Closed or redeemed — Stopping attempts to close or redeem every session prediction holding.